Indian Navy submarine INS Arihant. Photo by Chanakyathegreat, Wikimedia Commons.

India’s Nuclear Deterrence At Sea: How The Navy’s Nuclear Subs Will Shape Security In Indo-Pacific – Analysis


Aritra Banerjee

By Aritra Banerjee

In the Indo-Pacific’s complex geopolitical landscape, nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs) are more than advanced naval assets; they represent a nation’s commitment to strategic autonomy, credible deterrence, and regional stability. Developing a self-reliant SSBN fleet for India, including the INS Arihant, INS Arighat, and soon the INS Aridhaman, marks a transformative shift in its maritime defence strategy. This evolution signals India’s emergence as a formidable Indo-Pacific power and reinforces its stance as a key player in a rules-based maritime order.

India’s SSBN fleet is integral to its nuclear “no-first-use” (NFU) doctrine, which relies on a credible second-strike capability to deter adversaries. As India enhances its SSBN capabilities, it reinforces its strategic goal of a secure and stable Indo-Pacific, highlighting its vision for Security and Growth for All in the Region (SAGAR). By extending its nuclear deterrence to sea, India solidifies its commitment to regional security and strengthens its defensive posture in response to evolving threats.

Sea-Based Nuclear Deterrent: An Essential Component of India’s Nuclear Triad

India’s SSBN program highlights the strategic value of a sea-based deterrent within its nuclear triad, which also includes land-based ballistic missiles and air-launched nuclear weapons. While land and air assets offer critical first-line deterrence, SSBNs uniquely provide unparalleled survivability due to their submerged endurance, mobility, and operational invisibility, forming a credible second-strike force essential to a no-first-use posture. This capability assures adversaries that any first strike would prompt a robust retaliatory response, thereby reinforcing deterrence stability.

Through the Arihant-class submarines, India has invested in a nuclear force that enhances deterrence and resilience against first-strike vulnerabilities. The addition of the INS Arighat and upcoming INS Aridhaman, developed under the Advanced Technology Vessel (ATV) program, reflect India’s methodical approach to SSBN expansion, prioritising operational reliability over rapid deployment. This commitment protects India’s national interests and supports its broader vision for an inclusive and stable Indo-Pacific.

Technical Capabilities of India’s SSBN Fleet

India’s first SSBN, INS Arihant, marked a significant step in developing a domestic sea-based nuclear deterrent. The subsequent addition of INS Arighat enhanced India’s operational flexibility, offering a greater missile capacity and improved endurance. Arighat’s 6,000-ton displacement, coupled with its ability to carry both K-15 (750 km range) and K-4 missiles (over 3,000 km range), allows India to project deterrent power across a wider range of regional threats.

The anticipated INS Aridhaman, projected at a 7,000-ton displacement and increased missile load, will represent a strategic leap in India’s second-strike capabilities. With advancements in stealth and vertical launch technology, Aridhaman is poised to enhance India’s deterrent reach while extending operational range and endurance. These advancements elevate India’s standing in the Indo-Pacific and serve as a testament to India’s steady progression toward a robust and resilient nuclear deterrent at sea.

Countering Regional Challenges: India’s Strategic Approach vs. China’s Rapid Naval Expansion

The Indo-Pacific region faces shifting power dynamics as China rapidly expands its naval capabilities, particularly in the SSBN segment. China’s fleet, including the advanced Jin-class SSBNs, exemplifies a high-velocity, quantity-focused approach to shipbuilding, contributing to its current fleet size of over 370 vessels. However, recent reports, such as the Zhou-class nuclear-powered attack submarine incident, indicate vulnerabilities in quality control, operational reliability, and crew training that can accompany rapid expansion.

India’s contrasting approach prioritises rigorous development and trial processes to ensure operational reliability, highlighting a methodical pace in SSBN deployment. By emphasising quality, the Indian Navy mitigates operational risks, achieving deterrent credibility through robust, dependable assets. This quality-driven approach aligns with India’s long-term strategy, offering an advantage in sustainable deterrence over quantity-focused programs like China’s.

India’s SSBN program also reinforces strategic partnerships with its Quad allies—the United States, Japan, and Australia—through initiatives such as the Malabar exercises. These drills enhance India’s anti-submarine warfare (ASW) capabilities and bolster regional interoperability and readiness, presenting a united front against coercive actions. India’s nuclear submarines, positioned within this cooperative framework, underscore a credible deterrence policy that complements the Quad’s shared commitment to a free and open Indo-Pacific.

Operational and Geopolitical Significance of India’s SSBN Fleet

The development of India’s nuclear submarine fleet shapes its defence policy and regional influence. India’s SAGAR vision advocates cooperative regional security and economic growth, and its nuclear deterrence capabilities play a significant role in safeguarding freedom of navigation and regional stability. By advancing its SSBN fleet, India positions itself as a responsible maritime power aligned with a rules-based order, reassuring allies and deterring adversaries alike.

India’s SSBNs enable it to project a strategic deterrent, reinforcing its position as a stabilising force amid complex regional power dynamics. While operating under a no-first-use policy, India’s SSBNs support a credible second-strike doctrine that enhances regional security and India’s global standing. India upholds a deterrent posture emphasising strategic stability without escalating regional tensions by focusing on defence rooted in reliability and restraint.

Challenges and Future Prospects for India’s Nuclear Submarine Program

As India strengthens its SSBN fleet, it must address several operational, logistical, and technological challenges. Recruiting and training personnel with specialised nuclear submarine skills are critical to maintaining operational readiness. Given the technical demands of nuclear submarines, dedicated training facilities and experienced crews are paramount to ensuring mission success.

India’s indigenous development through the ATV program continues to progress, supported by private-sector engagement, such as with Larsen & Toubro, in future SSN projects. Further advancements in propulsion, stealth, and sensor technologies are necessary for achieving regional parity. Plans for larger SSBNs, with potential displacements of 13,500 tons and enhanced reactors, signify a focused investment in undersea deterrence. Additionally, integrating emerging technologies—like Artificial Intelligence (AI)-assisted decision-making and advanced sensors—could enhance India’s SSBN survivability and operational stealth.

International collaborations, particularly with experienced partners like Russia, can support India’s technological aspirations while reducing dependency. Over the long term, India’s SSBN expansion will benefit from continued government investment, streamlined procurement, and targeted partnerships, all critical for sustaining momentum in its undersea deterrence capabilities.

Long-Term Implications for Indo-Pacific Security

India’s nuclear-powered submarine fleet embodies its commitment to achieving a balanced, stable deterrence in the Indo-Pacific. The INS Arihant, INS Arighat, and anticipated INS Aridhaman represent a resilient response to regional challenges, supporting a rules-based order aligned with India’s SAGAR vision. By pursuing a quality-focused approach, India enhances its role as a credible counterbalance to assertive regional actors, strengthening its defence posture and standing as a responsible regional leader.

As India advances future SSBN and SSN developments, it is poised to fortify its maritime influence as a stabilising force in the Indo-Pacific. Through a focus on self-reliance, operational reliability, and collaborative regional initiatives, India’s nuclear deterrent at sea will play a defining role in shaping the security dynamics of the Indo-Pacific for decades to come.

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